tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 12:18 VPS → 14:35 DFW
    AA 2460 · American · 2h 17m · 68% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 DFW → 21:00 JFK
    AA 578 · American · 3h 47m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 42mVPS 12:18 to JFK 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.