tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via San Diego: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:34 PHX → 08:51 SAN
    AA 2461 · American · 1h 17m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:36 SAN → 20:54 MIA
    AA 2979 · American · 5h 19m · 90% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 21mPHX 07:34 to MIA 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.