tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 16:30 SNA → 17:52 PHX
    AA 2463 · American · 1h 22m · 77% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 58m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHX → 05:47 JFK +1 day
    AA 1587 · American · 4h 57m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 193 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 58m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 17mSNA 16:30 to JFK 05:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.