tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 78%

  1. 22:03 SMF → 06:08 CLT
    AA 2464 · American · 5h 05m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:28 CLT → 09:13 MCO +1 day
    AA 2084 · American · 1h 45m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 10mSMF 22:03 to MCO 09:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.