tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Houston via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 16:23 SAN → 17:49 PHX
    AA 2470 · American · 1h 26m · 59% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:52 PHX → 23:29 IAH
    AA 2357 · American · 2h 40m · 67% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 09mSAN 16:23 to IAH 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.