tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Newark via Phoenix: arrives on time 71%

  1. 18:55 SNA → 20:16 PHX
    AA 2471 · American · 1h 23m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:14 PHX → 06:00 EWR +1 day
    AA 2156 · American · 4h 46m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 05mSNA 18:55 to EWR 06:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.