tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 16:50 DFW → 19:44 ORD
    AA 2474 · American · 2h 54m · 55% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 ORD → 23:13 LAX
    AA 613 · American · 4h 24m · 51% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 23mDFW 16:50 to LAX 23:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.