tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 16:50 DFW → 19:44 ORD
    AA 2474 · American · 2h 54m · 55% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:01 ORD → 00:43 PWM +1 day
    AA 4403 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 46mDFW 16:50 to PWM 00:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.