tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tampa via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:07 SAN → 16:28 DFW
    AA 2476 · American · 3h 21m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:19 DFW → 20:54 TPA
    AA 844 · American · 2h 35m · 58% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 47mSAN 11:07 to TPA 20:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.