tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Tampa via Phoenix: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:46 SAN → 14:16 PHX
    AA 2477 · American · 1h 30m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:19 PHX → 22:25 TPA
    AA 1837 · American · 4h 06m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 39mSAN 12:46 to TPA 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.