tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Los Angeles via Chicago: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 ORD → 23:13 LAX
    AA 613 · American · 4h 24m · 51% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip7h 47mCLT 18:26 to LAX 23:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.