tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 ORD → 23:53 TYS
    AA 3710 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 69% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 27mCLT 18:26 to TYS 23:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.