tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 ORD → 23:59 BWI
    AA 3866 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 59% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 33mCLT 18:26 to BWI 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.