tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Springfield via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 ORD → 22:39 SGF
    AA 3963 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 47m · 79% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Springfield is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 11mCLT 18:26 to SGF 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.