tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 14m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 ORD → 00:10 TUL +1 day
    AA 4281 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 14m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 40mCLT 18:26 to TUL 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.