tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chattanooga via Chicago: arrives on time 31%

  1. 18:26 CLT → 19:51 ORD
    AA 2488 · American · 2h 25m · 47% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:02 ORD → 23:51 CHA
    AA 4511 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 61% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 28mCLT 18:26 to CHA 23:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.