tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:04 FLL → 15:04 LGA
    AA 2490 · American · 3h 00m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 LGA → 18:08 ORD
    AA 396 · American · 3h 08m · 64% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 04mFLL 12:04 to ORD 18:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.