tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:04 FLL → 15:04 LGA
    AA 2490 · American · 3h 00m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:08 LGA → 17:48 BUF
    AA 4378 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 67% on time, 9.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (9.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 44mFLL 12:04 to BUF 17:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.