tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 12:04 FLL → 15:04 LGA
    AA 2490 · American · 3h 00m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:51 LGA → 17:41 ORF
    AA 4471 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 50m · 72% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 37mFLL 12:04 to ORF 17:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.