tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 19:22 STL → 21:20 DFW
    AA 2491 · American · 1h 58m · 37% on time, 8.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:56 HOU
    AA 5465 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 18m · 50% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (8.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 34mSTL 19:22 to HOU 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.