tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:12 CVG → 10:48 CLT
    AA 2492 · American · 1h 36m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 CLT → 13:47 JFK
    AA 2812 · American · 2h 02m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 35mCVG 09:12 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.