tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:06 ILM → 06:10 CLT
    AA 2493 · American · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 CLT → 09:29 DCA
    AA 1977 · American · 1h 33m · 93% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip4h 27mILM 05:06 to DCA 09:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.