tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:06 ILM → 06:10 CLT
    AA 2493 · American · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 CLT → 09:01 LGA
    AA 2043 · American · 1h 56m · 88% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip3h 55mILM 05:06 to LGA 09:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.