Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Antonio → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 40%
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15:44 SAT → 16:10 PHXAA 2495 · American · 2h 24m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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1h 28m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:38 PHX → 23:30 ORDAA 435 · American · 3h 52m · 65% on time, 2.4% cancelled
Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 46mSAT 15:44 to ORD 23:30, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.