tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Louisville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 82%

  1. 11:00 CLT → 12:43 PHL
    AA 2498 · American · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:34 PHL → 17:45 SDF
    AA 4720 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 11m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 45mCLT 11:00 to SDF 17:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.