tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Reno via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 55%

  1. 17:16 ORD → 19:46 DFW
    AA 2499 · American · 2h 31m · 56% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 DFW → 23:58 RNO
    AA 1273 · American · 3h 26m · 65% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 42mORD 17:16 to RNO 23:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.