tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:33 VPS → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2501 · American · 2h 17m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:12 DFW → 22:59 MIA
    AA 1824 · American · 2h 47m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 26mVPS 15:33 to MIA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.