tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:33 VPS → 17:50 DFW
    AA 2501 · American · 2h 17m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:13 DFW → 23:45 LGA
    AA 2708 · American · 3h 32m · 55% on time, 13.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (13.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 12mVPS 15:33 to LGA 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.