tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 10:41 IAH → 13:25 ORD
    AA 2504 · American · 2h 44m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:36 ORD → 17:43 RDU
    AA 2949 · American · 2h 07m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 02mIAH 10:41 to RDU 17:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.