tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Savannah → St Louis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:31 SAV → 20:35 PHL
    AA 2504 · American · 2h 04m · 59% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 PHL → 23:32 STL
    AA 1368 · American · 2h 33m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Savannah). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip6h 01mSAV 18:31 to STL 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.