tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Savannah → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:31 SAV → 20:35 PHL
    AA 2504 · American · 2h 04m · 59% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:04 PHL → 23:59 DTW
    AA 5169 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 55m · 80% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 28mSAV 18:31 to DTW 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.