tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:01 CLT
    AA 2505 · American · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:01 CLT → 12:19 ORD
    AA 2908 · American · 2h 18m · 90% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 19mEWR 06:00 to ORD 12:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.