tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Phoenix via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:01 CLT
    AA 2505 · American · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:37 CLT → 12:56 PHX
    AA 588 · American · 4h 19m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 56mEWR 06:00 to PHX 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.