tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Bozeman via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:01 CLT
    AA 2505 · American · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 CLT → 11:39 BZN
    AA 990 · American · 4h 29m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 2 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 39mEWR 06:00 to BZN 11:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.