tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 08:01 CLT
    AA 2505 · American · 2h 00m · 94% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:20 CLT → 10:38 ILM
    AA 5820 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 38mEWR 06:00 to ILM 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.