tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:49 DFW → 21:29 LGA
    AA 2513 · American · 3h 40m · 56% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 25mIAH 14:04 to LGA 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.