tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Santa Ana via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:24 DFW → 17:37 SNA
    AA 2668 · American · 3h 13m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 33mIAH 14:04 to SNA 17:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.