tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 DFW → 18:00 MEM
    AA 3677 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 59% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip3h 56mIAH 14:04 to MEM 18:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.