tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Wichita via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:07 DFW → 18:30 ICT
    AA 3691 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 23m · 67% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 26mIAH 14:04 to ICT 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.