tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:33 DFW → 18:04 SGF
    AA 3803 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 00mIAH 14:04 to SGF 18:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.