tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Chattanooga via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 14:04 IAH → 15:30 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 26m · 49% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 DFW → 19:41 CHA
    AA 5115 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 11m · 55% on time, 10.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chattanooga is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (10.1% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 37mIAH 14:04 to CHA 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.