tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 18:38 TPA → 20:20 DFW
    AA 2512 · American · 2h 48m · 60% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:07 DFW → 22:52 SFO
    AA 2522 · American · 3h 45m · 26% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (26%).
Total trip7h 14mTPA 18:38 to SFO 22:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.