tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 79%

  1. 19:15 SBA → 20:52 PHX
    AA 2515 · American · 1h 37m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 00:36 PHX → 05:09 DFW +1 day
    AA 1818 · American · 2h 33m · 81% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 54mSBA 19:15 to DFW 05:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.