tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:25 DSM → 15:26 PHX
    AA 2516 · American · 3h 01m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 PHX → 20:53 DFW
    AA 1663 · American · 2h 38m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 28mDSM 14:25 to DFW 20:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.