tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:50 SDF → 21:12 DFW
    AA 2519 · American · 2h 22m · 36% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 23:48 LAS
    AA 2998 · American · 2h 49m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 58mSDF 19:50 to LAS 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.