tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:50 SDF → 21:12 DFW
    AA 2519 · American · 2h 22m · 36% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:53 DFW → 23:39 LAS
    AA 624 · American · 3h 00m · 65% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 03mSDF 19:50 to LAS 23:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.