tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 19:50 SDF → 21:12 DFW
    AA 2519 · American · 2h 22m · 36% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:38 DFW → 23:56 HOU
    AA 5465 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 18m · 50% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 06mSDF 19:50 to HOU 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.