tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 87%

  1. 10:30 ORD → 13:08 SEA
    AA 2520 · American · 4h 49m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:00 SEA → 19:01 SMF
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 31mORD 10:30 to SMF 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.