tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Hailey via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 10:30 ORD → 13:08 SEA
    AA 2520 · American · 4h 49m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:25 SEA → 19:01 SUN
    AS 2322 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 36m · 63% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip9h 31mORD 10:30 to SUN 19:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.