tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 10:22 SEA → 16:53 ORD
    AA 2523 · American · 4h 28m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 ORD → 23:05 IND
    AA 4594 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 82% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip9h 42mSEA 10:22 to IND 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.